AL West: Los Angeles Angels
Lineup: Guerrero is the lone power bat on the club right now, but what a bat he is. He won the AL MVP award in 2004, and if the Angels somehow win 90 games this year, he had better win it again. The rest of the outfield is filled with aging players whose best seasons are behind them. Garrett Anderson has seen his home run total divide by 2, from 29 to 14, and his OPS decrease by over 100 points in the past two seasons, and Darin Erstad has really only had one above-average year, 2000, and he hasn't even slugged .400 since then. Chone Figgins, one of the best base-stealers in the game, will start at third but can play anywhere. If Figgins can improve on his .352 OBP, he will become possibly the best leadoff hitter in the game. Dallas McPherson has shown he can hit for power at the big league level, but his career OBP is under .300, which prevents him from getting in the lineup. Orlando Cabrera struggled mightily last year, his first in a lucrative contract, but his career numbers point to an increase in 2006. Adam Kennedy has been the Angels second baseman for five years, but his declining power numbers (.374 SLG) may open the door for Edgardo Alfonzo, who was acquired from the Giants for Steve Finley. Erstad will shift to center to replace Finley, leaving first base open for Casey Kotchman, who has played well in part time action. If he fails to produce, Rob Quinlan is an option off the bench. The catcher position is a weakness, as Benjie Molina departed, leaving his brother Jose as the starter, which is troublesome as the younger Molina's career OPS is just over .600. Juan Rivera is a solid DH, but if he's only going to get on base 32% of the time, he needs to develop more power. Rivera can play the outfield as well. Overall, this lineup lacks protection for Guerrero, players to get on base for Guerrero to drive in, and a second big bat to carry the offense when Guerrero has a slump.
Starting Rotation: Bartolo Colon turned in a great season in 2005 (though it's high crime that he won the Cy Young), being a workhorse for a division winning club. While he broke down in the postseason, he turned in an excellent World Baseball Classic performance, and should be a quality ace once more. The more encouraging thing for
Bullpen: Francisco Rodriguez is turning out to be one of the best closers in baseball, and will anchor the bullpen for many years to come. Behind him, the Angels have an excellent core of setup men. Scott Shields went over 91 innings posting an ERA at 2.75. He's still young, and his career high ERA is 3.33. The only concern is overwork. Brendan Donnelly had an off year last year, with his ERA over two points higher than his career best, but a 3.72 ERA in 65 innings is still respectable. He too is still young, but hasn't pitched as much as Shields. Behind him is Hector Carrasco, who had a career year in
X-Factor: Garrett Anderson. With the departure of Benjie Molina, it is crucial that
Biggest Strength/Weakness: Bullpen/Power
Projection: 2nd place in the
Win Range: 85-90
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